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CEO Speak February 2026

Navigating Volatility: Staying Focused on Long-Term Goals

February was a reminder that market movements are rarely smooth. Global headlines and geopolitical developments created volatility across equity markets. India was no exception. However, periods like these are not unusual in market history. Over the past two decades, markets have repeatedly reacted sharply to global events—only to stabilise once the initial uncertainty faded. The Iraq War in 2003, the European debt crisis of 2011, and even the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 all triggered temporary market declines. Yet in each case, markets eventually recovered as economic fundamentals reasserted themselves.

Global Event

Approx. Sensex Fall

Time Taken to Stabilise / Recover

Iraq War (2003)

~9–10 per cent decline when the war began in March 2003

Around 1–2 months (~49 days)

European Debt Crisis (2011)

About 20–25 per cent decline during 2011 as the Eurozone crisis escalated

Recovery phase began within months; markets recovered over the next 1–2 years

COVID-19 Pandemic (2020)

Roughly 35–38 per cent fall from peak to March 2020 lows

Sharp recovery; markets regained most losses within 6–7 months and hit new highs in 2021

Source: BSE Historical Data.Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

This pattern offers an important reminder: short term volatility has historically been countered by long-term market returns that are driven by economic fundamentals and corporate growth.

India’s Structural Strengths:

Despite global uncertainty, the structural story of the Indian economy continues to remain strong.

Corporate profitability has strengthened. Corporate India today is fundamentally stronger than it was a few decades ago. Profitability has improved steadily, with corporate profits forming a larger share of GDP. This trend reflects improved operational efficiency, healthier balance sheets, and a reform-driven environment that has helped companies scale and create value.

Demographics remain India’s most powerful advantage. With a significant part of our population in the 20–30 age group, India will continue to benefit from being one of the world’s youngest workforces for the next two decades. This supports consumption growth, entrepreneurship, and long-term economic expansion.

Structural reforms are reshaping the economy. Initiatives such as GST, digital payments, financial inclusion, and improved tax compliance have accelerated the formalisation of the economy. This transition enhances efficiency, broadens the tax base, and improves transparency—creating a stronger foundation for sustainable growth.

India’s global positioning is strong. As supply chains evolve and manufacturing bases diversify, India is gaining prominence as a key production and innovation hub. The country’s strengths in pharmaceuticals and digital infrastructure further reinforce its role in supporting long-term global growth.

Why Investors Should Stay the Course

Market volatility can understandably create anxiety. Yet history suggests that reacting emotionally to short-term fluctuations often does more harm than good.

For long-term investors, wealth creation is driven by discipline, time in the market, and consistent participation, rather than attempts to time market movements.

Mutual funds and systematic investment plans (SIPs) are designed precisely to help investors navigate such cycles. Periods of market correction often allow disciplined investors to accumulate units at relatively attractive valuations.

The Way Forward

While near-term market movements may continue to reflect global uncertainties, the long-term drivers of India’s growth story remain firmly in place. Favourable demographics, improving infrastructure, and expanding financial markets continue to support the country’s long-term investment outlook. Mutual fund industry AUM has grown over six times in the past decade, rising from about ₹12–13 lakh crore in 2016 to over ₹81 lakh crore in 2026. (www.amfi.com) signifying investor trust and participation.

For investors, the key message remains unchanged:
stay focused on your financial goals, remain disciplined with your investments, and avoid letting short-term volatility derail long-term goals.

In investing—as in life—patience and consistency are often the most powerful strategies.

Views provided above are based on information in public domain and subject to change. Investors are requested to consult their financial advisor for any investment decisions.

Source: AMFI, MFI Explorer, CRISIL, Bloomberg. Data as on February 28, 2026 or as latest available

Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by HSBC Asset Management (India) Private Limited (HSBC) for information purposes only and should not be construed as i) an offer or recommendation to buy or sell securities, commodities, currencies or other investments referred to herein; or ii) an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer for purchase of any of the funds of HSBC Mutual Fund; or iii) an investment research or investment advice. It does not have regard to specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this document. Investors should seek personal and independent advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of the funds, securities, other investment or investment strategies that may have been discussed or referred herein and should understand that the views regarding future prospects may or may not be realized. In no event shall HSBC Mutual Fund/HSBC Asset management (India) Private Limited and / or its affiliates or any of their directors, trustees, officers and employees be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use of information / opinion herein.

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